UEFA Nations League · League A - 4
FULL-TIME
Italy vs Türkiye in UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 5 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 26′Goal · Normal GoalG. ScamaccaItaly
- 42′Card · Yellow CardGianluca ScamaccaItalyFoul
- 47′Card · Yellow CardMatteo RuggeriItalyFoul
- 55′Card · Yellow CardZeki ÇelikTürkiyeFoul
- 55′
- 56′
- 56′
- 61′
- 64′
- 70′
- 70′
- 70′
- 79′
- 81′Card · Yellow CardAbdülkerim BardakcıTürkiyeHandball
- 84′
- 87′
- 88′
- 88′
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
ItalyTürkiye
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 1 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| 2 | Yellow Card | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow/Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 0 | Penalties | 0 |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| 5 | Substitutions | 5 |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Lineups
Türkiye
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Vincenzo Montella
Starting XI
- 1U. CakirG
- 2Z. CelikD
- 15O. KabakD
- 14A. BardakciD
- 20F. KadiogluM
- 5S. OzcanM
- 16I. YuksekM
- 13E. ElmaliM
- 10I. KahveciF
- 21A. SimsirF
- 19Y. AkgunF
Substitutes
Italy
Starting XI
- 1G. DonnarummaG
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 6A. BastoniD
- 3M. RuggeriD
- 18N. BarellaM
- 4A. RomanoM
- 15I. DoumbiaM
- 21A. VergaraF
- 11G. ScamaccaF
- 17D. MaldiniF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2. | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3. | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4. | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2. | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3. | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4. | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 2. | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 6 |
| 3. | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 4. | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2. | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3. | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4. | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2. | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3. | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 4. | FYR Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2. | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3. | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4. | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2. | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3. | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4. | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2. | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3. | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4. | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2. | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3. | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4. | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2. | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3. | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4. | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2. | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3. | Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4. | Kazakhstan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2. | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3. | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4. | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2. | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3. | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Italy vs Türkiye
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 1–4 | Italy | UEFA Nations League |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League
- Venue
- Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Italy vs Türkiye: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Italy recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Türkiye recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Italy | Türkiye |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Italy: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Türkiye: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Italy recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FranceUEFA Nations League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TürkiyeUEFA Nations League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BelgiumUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| GreeceFriendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| LuxembourgFriendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Northern IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NorwayWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MoldovaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| IsraelWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Italy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Türkiye recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BelgiumUEFA Nations League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ItalyUEFA Nations League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FranceUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| USAWorld Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ParaguayWorld Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| AustraliaWorld Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| VenezuelaFriendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FYR MacedoniaFriendlies | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KosovoWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| RomaniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Türkiye’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.