Friendlies · Friendly International

FULL-TIME

USA1–0Canada

USA vs Canada in Friendlies on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 7 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Friendlies
Venue
Allianz Field
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–0
90-minute score
1–0
Last updated

Next five games for each club

USA

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Canada

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

USA vs Canada: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

USA recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 15. Canada recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticUSACanada
Games1010
Wins75
Draws03
Losses32
Goals scored2615
Goals conceded157
Over 1.5 games107

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

USA: (2.73 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Canada: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
USA 1.74
Canada 1.42

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

USA recent form

7Wins
0Draws
3Losses
26Goals scored
15Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

USA goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
MexicoFriendliesHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

USAStatisticMexico
4Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal4
8Total Shots6
2Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox3
18Fouls9
2Corner Kicks3
2Offsides4
49%Ball Possession51%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
426Total passes440
355Passes accurate369
83%Passes %84%

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 28′Goal · Normal Goal · J. Hall USA
  2. 35′Card · Yellow Card · Luis Romo Mexico Foul
  3. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · J. Gallardo · Assist: M. Chavez Garcia Mexico
  4. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · L. Romo · Assist: L. Chavez Mexico
  5. 62′Card · Yellow Card · Tyler Adams USA Foul
  6. 62′Goal · Normal Goal · C. Sullivan USA
  7. 65′subst · Substitution 1 · C. Sullivan · Assist: Y. Musah USA
  8. 65′subst · Substitution 2 · J. Hall · Assist: J. Ellis USA
  9. 66′subst · Substitution 3 · S. Sandoval · Assist: A. Fidalgo Mexico
  10. 66′subst · Substitution 4 · O. Pineda · Assist: I. Violante Mexico
  11. 67′Card · Red Card · Mateo Chávez Mexico Violent conduct
  12. 68′Card · Yellow Card · Sebastian Berhalter USA Argument
  13. 72′subst · Substitution 5 · S. Gimenez · Assist: A. Gonzalez Mexico
  14. 81′subst · Substitution 6 · R. Alvarado · Assist: E. del Villar Mexico
  15. 81′subst · Substitution 7 · E. Lira · Assist: O. Vargas Mexico
  16. 82′subst · Substitution 3 · G. Reyna · Assist: P. Miller USA
  17. 82′subst · Substitution 4 · S. Berhalter · Assist: B. Raines USA
  18. 84′Goal · Normal Goal · M. Tillman USA
  19. 88′subst · Substitution 5 · M. Tillman · Assist: M. Albert USA

Events updated

ChileFriendliesHome4–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PeruFriendliesHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BelgiumWorld CupHome1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld CupHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TürkiyeWorld CupAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AustraliaWorld CupHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ParaguayWorld CupHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GermanyFriendliesHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SenegalFriendliesHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from USA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Canada recent form

5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
15Goals scored
7Goals conceded
6Clean sheets

1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Canada goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
PeruFriendliesHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

ChileFriendliesHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MoroccoWorld CupHome0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

South AfricaWorld CupAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SwitzerlandWorld CupAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

QatarWorld CupHome6–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Rep. Of IrelandFriendliesHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

UzbekistanFriendliesHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TunisiaFriendliesHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Canada’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.