Primera División · Clausura - 9

FULL-TIME

Racing Montevideo0–1Penarol

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol in Primera División on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Racing Montevideo and Penarol
#TeamPWDLGPTS
11.Racing Montevideo103349:1012
3.Penarol1063116:720

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Primera División
Venue
Estadio Centenario
Status
Match Finished
Score
0–1
90-minute score
0–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Racing Montevideo

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Penarol

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Racing Montevideo recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Penarol recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 16 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticRacing MontevideoPenarol
Games1010
Wins45
Draws24
Losses41
Goals scored1116
Goals conceded138
Over 1.5 games67

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Racing Montevideo: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Penarol: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Racing Montevideo 1.04
Penarol 1.60

The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Racing Montevideo recent form

4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
11Goals scored
13Goals conceded
4Clean sheets

1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Racing Montevideo goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
ProgresoPrimera DivisiónAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Liverpool MontevideoPrimera DivisiónAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

JuventudCopa UruguayAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Boston RiverPrimera DivisiónHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Central EspanolCopa UruguayHome2–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CerroPrimera DivisiónAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

OrientalCopa UruguayAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Albion FCPrimera DivisiónHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DanubioPrimera DivisiónAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Club NacionalPrimera DivisiónHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Racing Montevideo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Penarol recent form

5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
16Goals scored
8Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Penarol goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Atletico TorquePrimera DivisiónAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Boston RiverPrimera DivisiónHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DanubioCopa UruguayAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CerroPrimera DivisiónAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Albion FCPrimera DivisiónHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DanubioPrimera DivisiónAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AtenasCopa UruguayAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Club NacionalPrimera DivisiónHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Atletico TorqueCopa UruguayHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera DivisiónAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Penarol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.