UEFA Nations League · League A - 4

FULL-TIME

Wales0–1Denmark

Wales vs Denmark in UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Wales and Denmark
#TeamPWDLGPTS
3.Wales41032:53
2.Denmark42027:76

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
UEFA Nations League
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
0–1
90-minute score
0–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Wales

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Denmark

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Wales vs Denmark: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Wales recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Denmark recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticWalesDenmark
Games1010
Wins34
Draws33
Losses43
Goals scored1620
Goals conceded1416
Over 1.5 games89

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Wales: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Denmark: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Wales 1.64
Denmark 1.59

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Wales recent form

3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
16Goals scored
14Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Wales goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 70OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
NorwayUEFA Nations LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DenmarkUEFA Nations LeagueAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PortugalUEFA Nations LeagueAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RomaniaFriendliesAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GhanaFriendliesHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Northern IrelandFriendliesHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bosnia & HerzegovinaWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FYR MacedoniaWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome7–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LiechtensteinWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BelgiumWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome2–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Wales’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Denmark recent form

4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
20Goals scored
16Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Denmark goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
PortugalUEFA Nations LeagueHome2–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WalesUEFA Nations LeagueHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NorwayUEFA Nations LeagueAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

UkraineFriendliesHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Congo DRFriendliesAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CzechiaWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FYR MacedoniaWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ScotlandWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeAway2–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BelarusWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GreeceWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Denmark’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.