FA WSL · Regular Season - 5

FULL-TIME

Manchester City W4–2Arsenal W

Manchester City W vs Arsenal W in FA WSL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 43′
    Goal · Normal GoalL. BaumArsenal W
  2. 45′
    Goal · Normal GoalL. HempManchester City WAssist: N. Charles
  3. 45+3′
    Substitution · Substitution 1M. CaldenteyArsenal WAssist: C. Foord
  4. 49′
    Goal · Normal GoalA. RussoArsenal W
  5. 62′
    Substitution · Substitution 1N. CharlesManchester City WAssist: K. Casparij
  6. 62′
    Substitution · Substitution 2C. WamserManchester City WAssist: I. Beney
  7. 62′
    Substitution · Substitution 3B. MeadManchester City WAssist: M. Fowler
  8. 63′
    Goal · Normal GoalK. CasparijManchester City WAssist: L. Hemp
  9. 68′
    Substitution · Substitution 2L. BaumArsenal WAssist: O. Smith
  10. 68′
    Substitution · Substitution 3G. StanwayArsenal WAssist: S. Blackstenius
  11. 70′
    Substitution · Substitution 4S. CoffeyManchester City WAssist: L. Blindkilde
  12. 72′
    Goal · Normal GoalL. HempManchester City WAssist: Y. Hasegawa
  13. 81′
    Substitution · Substitution 4E. FoxArsenal WAssist: S. Holmberg
  14. 81′
    Substitution · Substitution 5O. BatlleArsenal WAssist: S. Cerci
  15. 82′
    Card · Yellow CardOlivia SmithArsenal WFoul
  16. 84′
    Goal · Normal GoalK. ShawManchester City WAssist: A. Fujino
  17. 90+2′
    Substitution · Substitution 5A. FujinoManchester City WAssist: G. Clinton

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Manchester City W and Arsenal W
#TeamPWDLGPTS
1.Manchester City W550016:615
10.Arsenal W51224:65

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
FA WSL
Venue
Manchester Regional Arena
Status
Match Finished
Score
4–2
90-minute score
4–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Manchester City W

Arsenal W

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Manchester City W vs Arsenal W: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Manchester City W recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Arsenal W recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 13 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticManchester City WArsenal W
Games1010
Wins75
Draws34
Losses01
Goals scored2613
Goals conceded106
Over 1.5 games85

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Manchester City W: (2.44 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Arsenal W: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Manchester City W 1.60
Arsenal W 1.16

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Manchester City W recent form

7Wins
3Draws
0Losses
26Goals scored
10Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Manchester City W goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Real Madrid WUEFA Champions League WomenHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Charlton Athletic WFA WSLAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bayern Munich WUEFA Champions League WomenAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Liverpool WFA WSLHome4–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Aston Villa WFA WSLAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Birmingham City WFA WSLHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Brighton WFA Women's CupAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

West Ham WFA WSLAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Chelsea WFA Women's CupAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Liverpool WFA WSLHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Manchester City W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Arsenal W recent form

5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
13Goals scored
6Goals conceded
5Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Arsenal W goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Paris FC WUEFA Champions League WomenAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Chelsea WFA WSLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Køge WUEFA Champions League WomenHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Manchester United WFA WSLHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Crystal Palace WFA WSLHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Brighton WFA WSLAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Liverpool WFA WSLAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Everton WFA WSLHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Aston Villa WFA WSLAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Brighton WFA WSLAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Arsenal W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.