NPFL · Regular Season - 7

FULL-TIME

Kwara United2–1Ranchers Bees

Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees in NPFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 7′
    Goal · Normal GoalJ. YusufRanchers Bees
  2. 53′
    Goal · Normal GoalT. GidadoKwara United
  3. 77′
    Goal · Normal GoalG. ChukwuKwara United

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Kwara United and Ranchers Bees
#TeamPWDLGPTS
12.Kwara United83149:910
16.Ranchers Bees82249:108

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
NPFL
Venue
Kwara Sports Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Kwara United

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Ranchers Bees

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Kwara United recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Ranchers Bees recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 8 conceded across 6 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticKwara UnitedRanchers Bees
Games106
Wins32
Draws21
Losses53
Goals scored118
Goals conceded138
Over 1.5 games64

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Kwara United: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Ranchers Bees: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Kwara United 1.30
Ranchers Bees 1.10

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Kwara United recent form

3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
11Goals scored
13Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Kwara United goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Kun Khalifat FCNPFLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nasarawa UnitedNPFLHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Warri WolvesNPFLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Katsina UnitedNPFLHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Plateau UnitedNPFLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Kano PillarsNPFLHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SokotoFederation CupHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bayelsa UnitedNPFLAway0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EnyimbaNPFLHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Niger TornadoesNPFLAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Kwara United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 6 GAMES

Ranchers Bees recent form

2Wins
1Draws
3Losses
8Goals scored
8Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.

Ranchers Bees goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Rivers UnitedNPFLHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Enugu RangersNPFLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bendel InsuranceNPFLHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Barau FCNPFLAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Abia WarriorsNPFLHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ikorodu CityNPFLAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Ranchers Bees’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.