J3 League · Regular Season - 12
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma in J3 League on 21 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview · 21 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
Match statistics will be available once the game starts.
Lineups
Lineups have not been returned for this match yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2. | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:14 | 23 |
| 3. | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4. | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 5. | Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 6. | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:10 | 19 |
| 7. | Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 17 |
| 8. | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:6 | 17 |
| 9. | Parceiro Nagano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 10. | Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11. | Biwako Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12. | FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13. | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 14. | Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 15. | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 16. | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 10 |
| 17. | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 10 |
| 18. | Fukushima United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20:26 | 8 |
| 19. | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 5 |
| 20. | Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4:25 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15. | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 17. | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Sunpro Alwin
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Matsumoto Yamaga
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Thespakusatsu Gunma
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Matsumoto Yamaga recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Thespakusatsu Gunma recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Matsumoto Yamaga | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Available match statistics from previous games
These are averages from saved match feeds for each team’s recent results. Each metric uses only games where the API returned that value.
| Statistic | Matsumoto Yamaga | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Yellow cards | 0.00 (1 games) | 0.00 (1 games) |
| Red cards | 0.00 (1 games) | 0.00 (1 games) |
| Substitutions | 5.00 (1 games) | 5.00 (1 games) |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Matsumoto Yamaga: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Thespakusatsu Gunma: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. The estimated probability for this selection is 72%. Straight wins, Over 2.5 and Both teams to score are considered only when the available results support at least a 70% model probability.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Matsumoto Yamaga recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gainare TottoriJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsHome · Matsumoto Yamaga
Away · Gainare Tottori
Events updated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Albirex NiigataJ-League Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SagamiharaJ3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Shonan BellmareJ-League Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| OsakaJ3 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scores shown from Matsumoto Yamaga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Thespakusatsu Gunma recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare TottoriJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FC RyukyuJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsHome · Ehime FC
Away · Thespakusatsu Gunma
Events updated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Albirex NiigataJ-League Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tokyo VerdyEmperor Cup | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scores shown from Thespakusatsu Gunma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. The model can choose double chance or Over 1.5 goals, and adds straight wins, Over 2.5, or Both teams to score only when the estimated probability is at least 70%. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.