Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL in Liga MX on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga MX — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guadalajara Chivas are ranked 4 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 19 points from 11 games.
Tigres UANL are ranked 13 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 13 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara Chivas | 2–0 | Tigres UANL | Liga MX | |
| Tigres UANL | 3–1 | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
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Match information
- Competition
- Liga MX
- Venue
- Estadio Akron
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Guadalajara Chivas
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Tigres UANL
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Guadalajara Chivas recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Tigres UANL recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guadalajara Chivas | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guadalajara Chivas: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tigres UANL: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadalajara Chivas recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasLiga MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club AmericaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Club QueretaroLiga MX | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Club AmericaLiga MX | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Atletico San LuisLiga MX | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CF PachucaLiga MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club TijuanaLiga MX | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Santos LagunaLiga MX | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Seattle SoundersLeagues Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Guadalajara Chivas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tigres UANL recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TolucaLiga MX | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| PueblaLiga MX | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC JuarezLiga MX | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MonterreyLiga MX | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NecaxaLiga MX | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santos LagunaLiga MX | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlante FCLiga MX | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AtlasLiga MX | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsLeagues Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Minnesota United FCLeagues Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tigres UANL’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.