USL Super League · Group Stage
FULL-TIME
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W in USL Super League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
Lexington WTampa Bay Sun W
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 1 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Carolina Ascent W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 2. | Sporting JAX W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 3. | Dallas Trinity W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 4. | DC Power W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5. | Lexington W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6. | Tampa Bay Sun W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 7. | Brooklyn W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 8. | Fort Lauderdale United W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Sun W | 1–1 | Lexington W | USL Super League | |
| Lexington W | 1–0 | Tampa Bay Sun W | USL Super League | |
| Lexington W | 4–0 | Tampa Bay Sun W | USL Super League |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5. | Lexington W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6. | Tampa Bay Sun W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- USL Super League
- Venue
- Toyota Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Lexington W
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Tampa Bay Sun W
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Lexington W recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Tampa Bay Sun W recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lexington W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lexington W: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tampa Bay Sun W: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lexington W recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lauderdale United WUSL Super League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Tampa Bay Sun WUSL Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Dallas Trinity WUSL Super League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Sporting JAX WUSL Super League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| DC Power WUSL Super League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Brooklyn WUSL Super League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dallas Trinity WUSL Super League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Tampa Bay Sun WUSL Super League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Lexington W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tampa Bay Sun W recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Lexington WUSL Super League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| DC Power WUSL Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Fort Lauderdale United WUSL Super League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Sporting JAX WUSL Super League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dallas Trinity WUSL Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Lexington WUSL Super League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dallas Trinity WUSL Super League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Fort Lauderdale United WUSL Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Tampa Bay Sun W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.