NWSL Women · Group Stage
North Carolina Courage WvsSan Diego Wave W
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W in NWSL Women on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NWSL Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Diego Wave W are ranked 2 in Nwsl Women, with 51 points from 27 games.
North Carolina Courage W are ranked 8 in Nwsl Women, with 42 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign FC W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | -48 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Wave W | 2–1 | North Carolina Courage W | NWSL Women |
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Match information
- Competition
- NWSL Women
- Venue
- WakeMed Soccer Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
North Carolina Courage W
No upcoming fixtures are available.
San Diego Wave W
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
North Carolina Courage W recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 16. San Diego Wave W recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | North Carolina Courage W | San Diego Wave W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
North Carolina Courage W: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Diego Wave W: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
North Carolina Courage W recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Kansas City WNWSL Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Away | 4–3 | Won |
Scores shown from North Carolina Courage W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
San Diego Wave W recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Racing Louisville WNWSL Women | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kansas City WNWSL Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Racing Louisville WNWSL Women | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from San Diego Wave W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.