USL Championship · Group Stage
Louisville CityvsIndy Eleven
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven in USL Championship on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Louisville City are ranked 6 in USL Championship, with 40 points from 27 games.
Indy Eleven are ranked 9 in USL Championship, with 34 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 74 | -42 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 21 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | 2–1 | Louisville City | USL Championship |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- USL Championship
- Venue
- Lynn Family Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Louisville City
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Indy Eleven
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Louisville City recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Indy Eleven recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Louisville City | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Louisville City: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Indy Eleven: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Louisville City recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hartford AthleticUSL League One Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hartford AthleticUSL Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San AntonioUSL League One Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rhode IslandUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Indy ElevenUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orange County SCUSL Championship | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Louisville City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Indy Eleven recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rhode IslandUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Oakland RootsUSL Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BrooklynUSL Championship | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Birmingham LegionUSL Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Phoenix RisingUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Indy Eleven’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
