Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
FULL-TIME
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku in Premyer Liqa on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
QarabagNeftchi Baku
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2. | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3. | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4. | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 5. | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6. | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7. | Şamaxı FK | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8. | Sumqayıt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9. | Qabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10. | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 11. | Safa Baku | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:12 | 3 |
| 12. | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 2–1 | Qarabag | Premyer Liqa | |
| Neftchi Baku | 1–5 | Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 1. | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Qarabag
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Neftchi Baku
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Qarabag recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Neftchi Baku recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Qarabag | Neftchi Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Qarabag: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Neftchi Baku: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Qarabag recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TwenteUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TwenteUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Qarabag’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Neftchi Baku recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NK OsijekFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Neftchi Baku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.