FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying

FULL-TIME

Carlisle2–1Tamworth

Carlisle vs Tamworth in FA Cup on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Venue
Brunton Park
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Carlisle

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Tamworth

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Carlisle vs Tamworth: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Carlisle recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Tamworth recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticCarlisleTamworth
Games1010
Wins34
Draws41
Losses35
Goals scored1613
Goals conceded1519
Over 1.5 games88

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Carlisle: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Tamworth: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Carlisle 1.67
Tamworth 1.35

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Carlisle recent form

3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
16Goals scored
15Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Carlisle goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Kidderminster HarriersNational LeagueHome0–0Draw
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Aldershot TownNational LeagueAway3–1Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

AFC FyldeNational LeagueAway2–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WokingNational LeagueHome2–5Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EastleighNational LeagueAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Forest GreenNational LeagueHome1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SouthendNational LeagueHome2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Boreham WoodNational LeagueAway1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ScunthorpeNational LeagueHome4–2Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WealdstoneNational LeagueAway1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Carlisle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Tamworth recent form

4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
13Goals scored
19Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Tamworth goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
BarrowNational LeagueHome1–2Lost
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Leeds United U21National League CupHome1–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

HartlepoolNational LeagueAway1–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Sutton UtdNational LeagueHome2–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Aldershot TownNational LeagueAway1–5Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WealdstoneNational LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SouthendNational LeagueAway1–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Harrogate TownNational LeagueAway1–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Middlesbrough U21National League CupHome1–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Boston UnitedNational LeagueHome2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Tamworth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.