National League - North · National League North - 12
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Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town in National League - North on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - North — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
King's Lynn Town are ranked 6 in National League N/S: North, with 19 points from 11 games.
Merthyr Town are ranked 18 in National League N/S: North, with 14 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- National League - North
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Merthyr Town
No upcoming fixtures are available.
King's Lynn Town
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Merthyr Town recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. King's Lynn Town recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Merthyr Town | King's Lynn Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Merthyr Town: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
King's Lynn Town: (2.24 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Merthyr Town recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883National League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MarineNational League - North | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Truro CityFA Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Truro CityFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChesterNational League - North | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MacclesfieldNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BuxtonNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChorleyNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| South ShieldsNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Merthyr Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
King's Lynn Town recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BuxtonNational League - North | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bedford TownFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChorleyNational League - North | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hednesford TownNational League - North | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Darlington 1883National League - North | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hebburn TownNational League - North | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| MarineNational League - North | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Brackley TownNational League - North | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from King's Lynn Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.