Welsh Cup · Round of 64

FULL-TIME

Penycae1–4Dolgellau Athletic

Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic in Welsh Cup on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 9 previous home-team games and 4 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Welsh Cup
Venue
To be confirmed
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–4
90-minute score
1–4
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Penycae

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Dolgellau Athletic

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Penycae recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 29. Dolgellau Athletic recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 10 scored and 12 conceded across 4 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticPenycaeDolgellau Athletic
Games94
Wins12
Draws20
Losses62
Goals scored1210
Goals conceded2912
Over 1.5 games83

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Penycae: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 2.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Dolgellau Athletic: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 3.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Penycae 2.10
Dolgellau Athletic 2.79

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 9 GAMES

Penycae recent form

1Wins
2Draws
6Losses
12Goals scored
29Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.33 goals scored and 3.22 conceded per game. 8 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.

Penycae goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Rhos AelwydWelsh CupHome1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GuilsfieldWelsh CupHome1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Trearddur BayWelsh CupAway5–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Airbus UKWelsh CupHome0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Flint Town UnitedWelsh CupAway0–6Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GuilsfieldWelsh CupAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

HolywellWelsh CupAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Brickfield RangersWelsh CupHome4–4Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrymboWelsh CupAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Penycae’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.

LAST 4 GAMES

Dolgellau Athletic recent form

2Wins
0Draws
2Losses
10Goals scored
12Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

2.50 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. 3 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.

Dolgellau Athletic goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 80OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Caerau (Ely)Welsh CupHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CaerswsWelsh CupAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Queens ParkWelsh CupHome8–3Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cefn AlbionWelsh CupAway1–7Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Dolgellau Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.