Welsh Cup · Round of 64
Results Only
Llantwit FardrevsBaglan Dragons
Llantwit Fardre vs Baglan Dragons in Welsh Cup on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 3 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Welsh Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Llantwit Fardre vs Baglan Dragons
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Welsh Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Llantwit Fardre
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Baglan Dragons
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Llantwit Fardre vs Baglan Dragons: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Llantwit Fardre recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 3 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Baglan Dragons recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Llantwit Fardre | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Llantwit Fardre: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Baglan Dragons: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 4.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 3 GAMES
Llantwit Fardre recent form
1.00 goals scored and 4.33 conceded per game. 2 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhiwceiber RangersWelsh Cup | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Cardiff METWelsh Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)Welsh Cup | Home | 0–8 | Lost |
Scores shown from Llantwit Fardre’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Baglan Dragons recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd TownFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| llanelli AFCFAW Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Afan LidoFAW Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Caerphilly AthleticFAW Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Newport CityFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Llantwit MajorFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Swansea UniversityFAW Championship | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Baglan Dragons’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.