Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 12
Results Only
Natsional Sofia vs Kostinbrod in Third League - Southwest on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 26 |
| 2. | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22:10 | 22 |
| 3. | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:13 | 22 |
| 4. | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 5. | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 6. | Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 19 |
| 7. | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 8. | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 9. | Slivnishki geroy | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 10. | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 11. | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 12. | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 13. | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | 12 |
| 14. | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 15. | Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:28 | 10 |
| 16. | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 17. | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 18. | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Natsional Sofia vs Kostinbrod
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17. | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 7. | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16:10 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Natsional Sofia
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Kostinbrod
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Natsional Sofia vs Kostinbrod: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Natsional Sofia recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Kostinbrod recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Natsional Sofia | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Natsional Sofia: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kostinbrod: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Natsional Sofia recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaCup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsNo statistics were returned for this match. Stats updated Match events
Events updated | ||||
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Natsional Sofia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kostinbrod recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Kostinbrod’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.