Second League - Group 3 · Group 3 - 28
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OrelvsZenit Penza
Orel vs Zenit Penza in Second League - Group 3 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zenit Penza are ranked 12 in Central, with 23 points from 21 games.
Orel are ranked 13 in Central, with 23 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Orel vs Zenit Penza
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Penza | 3–1 | Orel | Second League - Group 3 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Orel
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Zenit Penza
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Orel vs Zenit Penza: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Orel recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Zenit Penza recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orel | Zenit Penza |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orel: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zenit Penza: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orel recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rotor-2Second League - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KvantSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Orel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zenit Penza recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva IIISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Metallurg LipetskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Saturn RamenskoyeSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zenit Penza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.