AFC Challenge League · Group Stage

FULL-TIME

Ahal2–2Paro

Ahal vs Paro in AFC Challenge League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
AFC Challenge League
Venue
Changlimithang Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–2
90-minute score
2–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Ahal

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Paro

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Ahal vs Paro: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Ahal recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 16. Paro recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 40 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticAhalParo
Games1010
Wins610
Draws00
Losses40
Goals scored2440
Goals conceded164
Over 1.5 games109

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Ahal: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Paro: (4.28 weighted goals scored + 1.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Ahal 1.25
Paro 3.02

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Ahal recent form

6Wins
0Draws
4Losses
24Goals scored
16Goals conceded
4Clean sheets

2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Ahal goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Altyn AsyrÝokary LigaHome0–2Lost
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

ArkadagÝokary LigaHome0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AşgabatÝokary LigaAway4–3Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NebitciÝokary LigaHome3–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ŞagadamÝokary LigaAway1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MerwÝokary LigaHome4–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ArkadagÝokary LigaAway1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary LigaHome3–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AşgabatÝokary LigaHome4–3Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NebitciÝokary LigaAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Ahal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Paro recent form

10Wins
0Draws
0Losses
40Goals scored
4Goals conceded
7Clean sheets

4.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Paro goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 100OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Thimphu CityPremier LeagueAway2–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Bhutan U19Premier LeagueHome6–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

No match events were listed.

Events updated

Transport UnitedPremier LeagueAway4–2Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ugyen AcademyPremier LeagueAway10–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TsirangPremier LeagueHome7–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RTCPremier LeagueHome1–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Abu MuslimAFC Challenge LeagueHome2–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DrukpaPremier LeagueAway3–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ThimphuPremier LeagueHome2–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TensungPremier LeagueAway3–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Paro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.