III Liga - Group 4 · Group IV - 13
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Czarni PołaniecvsChełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm in III Liga - Group 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chełmianka Chełm are ranked 1 in Group IV, with 30 points from 12 games.
Czarni Połaniec are ranked 6 in Group IV, with 20 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Naprzód | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisłoka Dębica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Jarosław | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Czarni Połaniec
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Chełmianka Chełm
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Czarni Połaniec recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Chełmianka Chełm recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 17 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Czarni Połaniec | Chełmianka Chełm |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Czarni Połaniec: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chełmianka Chełm: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Czarni Połaniec recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KSZO 1929III Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Moravia MorawicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Podlasie Biała PodlaskaIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Czarni Połaniec’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chełmianka Chełm recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hetman ZamoscIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Podlasie Biała PodlaskaIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KSZO 1929III Liga - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Siarka TarnobrzegIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow IIIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Moravia MorawicaIII Liga - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Chełmianka Chełm’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.