J1 League · Regular Season - 10
FULL-TIME
Kashima2–0V-varen Nagasaki
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki in J1 League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
KashimaV-varen Nagasaki
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 0 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J1 League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kashima are ranked 6 in J-League, with 16 points from 9 games.
V-varen Nagasaki are ranked 14 in J-League, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- J1 League
- Venue
- Mercari Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Kashima
No upcoming fixtures are available.
V-varen Nagasaki
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Kashima recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 12. V-varen Nagasaki recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kashima | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kashima: (2.52 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
V-varen Nagasaki: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kashima recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân DânAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ventforet KofuEmperor Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Newcastle JetsAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UrawaJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mito HollyhockJ1 League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Suzuka UnlimitedEmperor Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kashima’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
V-varen Nagasaki recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shimizu S-pulseEmperor Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gainare TottoriJ-League Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kochi UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ehime FCEmperor Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from V-varen Nagasaki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
