J2 League · Regular Season - 11

FULL-TIME

Sagan Tosu2–1Omiya Ardija

Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija in J2 League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Sagan Tosu and Omiya Ardija
#TeamPWDLGPTS
15.Sagan Tosu103259:1211
2.Omiya Ardija1055020:920

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
J2 League
Venue
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Sagan Tosu

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Omiya Ardija

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Sagan Tosu recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Omiya Ardija recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticSagan TosuOmiya Ardija
Games1010
Wins43
Draws15
Losses52
Goals scored917
Goals conceded1112
Over 1.5 games68

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Sagan Tosu: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Omiya Ardija: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Sagan Tosu 1.17
Omiya Ardija 1.36

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Sagan Tosu recent form

4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
9Goals scored
11Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Sagan Tosu goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Avispa FukuokaJ-League CupHome2–1Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Fujieda MYFCJ2 LeagueHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Blaublitz AkitaJ2 LeagueAway0–1Lost
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Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 32′Card · Yellow Card · K. Yamauchi Sagan Tosu
  2. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · K. Yamauchi · Assist: N. Matsumoto Sagan Tosu
  3. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · R. Izawa · Assist: H. Nakahara Sagan Tosu
  4. 48′Card · Yellow Card · H. Takahashi Blaublitz Akita
  5. 61′Card · Yellow Card · N. Matsumoto Sagan Tosu
  6. 62′Goal · Normal Goal · T. Nonomura · Assist: Y. Nakano Blaublitz Akita
  7. 71′subst · Substitution 1 · R. Oishi · Assist: T. Iwai Blaublitz Akita
  8. 71′subst · Substitution 2 · Y. Nakano · Assist: T. Hasegawa Blaublitz Akita
  9. 71′subst · Substitution 3 · A. Toyoda · Assist: H. Goto Sagan Tosu
  10. 77′subst · Substitution 3 · K. Handa · Assist: S. Aihara Blaublitz Akita
  11. 79′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Nishizawa · Assist: K. Jojo Sagan Tosu
  12. 87′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Doi · Assist: T. Mizutani Blaublitz Akita
  13. 87′subst · Substitution 5 · S. Suzuki · Assist: R. Nakamura Blaublitz Akita
  14. 87′subst · Substitution 5 · M. Yoshida · Assist: K. Yoshino Sagan Tosu

Events updated

Tokyo VerdyJ-League CupHome1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Montedio YamagataJ2 LeagueAway0–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vissel KobeEmperor CupAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IwakiJ2 LeagueHome1–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ImabariJ2 LeagueAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 LeagueHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nara ClubJ-League CupAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Sagan Tosu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Omiya Ardija recent form

3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
17Goals scored
12Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Omiya Ardija goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Vanraure HachinoheJ2 LeagueHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

UrawaEmperor CupAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 LeagueAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 18′Card · Yellow Card · Y. Toyokawa Omiya Ardija
  2. 45′Goal · Normal Goal · K. Okumura · Assist: M. Ano Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  3. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · Y. Toyokawa · Assist: Kaua Diniz Omiya Ardija
  4. 54′subst · Substitution 2 · Y. Ozaki · Assist: K. Sugimoto Omiya Ardija
  5. 62′Card · Yellow Card · Y. Iesaka Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  6. 67′subst · Substitution 3 · H. Kato · Assist: O. Yamamoto Omiya Ardija
  7. 82′Goal · Normal Goal · Kaua Diniz · Assist: Carlinhos Junior Omiya Ardija
  8. 85′subst · Substitution 1 · Y. Iesaka · Assist: E. Watanabe Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  9. 85′subst · Substitution 2 · M. Ano · Assist: K. Matsumoto Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  10. 89′subst · Substitution 3 · K. Murakoshi · Assist: R. Inoue Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  11. 90+2′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Nakayama · Assist: O. Iyoha Omiya Ardija

Events updated

Ventforet KofuJ2 LeagueHome5–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Fujieda MYFCJ2 LeagueAway1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Oita TrinitaJ2 LeagueHome0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Blaublitz AkitaJ2 LeagueAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Gainare TottoriJ-League CupAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Shonan BellmareJ2 LeagueHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vanraure HachinoheEmperor CupHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Omiya Ardija’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.