J2 League · Regular Season - 11

FULL-TIME

Oita Trinita5–1Albirex Niigata

Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata in J2 League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Oita Trinita and Albirex Niigata
#TeamPWDLGPTS
7.Oita Trinita1035211:814
3.Albirex Niigata1062214:1420

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
J2 League
Venue
Resonac Dome Oita
Status
Match Finished
Score
5–1
90-minute score
5–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Oita Trinita

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Albirex Niigata

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Oita Trinita recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Albirex Niigata recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticOita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
Games1010
Wins35
Draws52
Losses23
Goals scored1113
Goals conceded918
Over 1.5 games78

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Oita Trinita: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Albirex Niigata: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Oita Trinita 1.45
Albirex Niigata 1.10

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Oita Trinita recent form

3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
11Goals scored
9Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Oita Trinita goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Yokohama FCJ2 LeagueAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Montedio YamagataJ2 LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

  1. 47′Goal · Normal Goal · Patrick Verhon · Assist: A. Miyakawa Oita Trinita
  2. 55′subst · Substitution 1 · K. Yanagimachi · Assist: R. Kawana Montedio Yamagata
  3. 56′Goal · Normal Goal · H. Sugii · Assist: J. Takahashi Montedio Yamagata
  4. 58′Card · Yellow Card · Y. Nishimura Oita Trinita
  5. 70′subst · Substitution 1 · Patrick Verhon · Assist: M. Kimoto Oita Trinita
  6. 76′subst · Substitution 2 · Y. Nishimura · Assist: K. Sakakibara Oita Trinita
  7. 76′subst · Substitution 3 · K. Arima · Assist: D. Furukawa Oita Trinita
  8. 82′subst · Substitution 4 · T. Shige · Assist: S. Udo Oita Trinita
  9. 82′subst · Substitution 5 · Matheus Leiria · Assist: H. Kiyotake Oita Trinita
  10. 82′subst · Substitution 2 · R. Kida · Assist: R. Yokoyama Montedio Yamagata
  11. 82′subst · Substitution 3 · S. Doi · Assist: S. Horikane Montedio Yamagata
  12. 89′subst · Substitution 4 · J. Takahashi · Assist: K. Mori Montedio Yamagata
  13. 90′Goal · Normal Goal · D. Furukawa Oita Trinita

Events updated

Fujieda MYFCJ2 LeagueHome1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Consadole SapporoJ2 LeagueAway1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Omiya ArdijaJ2 LeagueAway0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ImabariJ2 LeagueHome1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Roasso KumamotoJ-League CupAway0–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tokushima VortisJ2 LeagueAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IwakiEmperor CupAway0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IwakiJ2 LeagueHome4–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Oita Trinita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Albirex Niigata recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
13Goals scored
18Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Albirex Niigata goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Shonan BellmareJ2 LeagueAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Tokushima VortisJ2 LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

  1. 3′Goal · Normal Goal · K. Iwao · Assist: Lucas Barcelos Tokushima Vortis
  2. 19′Goal · Normal Goal · M. Moraes · Assist: T. Kato Albirex Niigata
  3. 25′Goal · Normal Goal · M. Moraes Albirex Niigata
  4. 29′subst · Substitution 1 · D. Watari · Assist: Y. Kajiya Tokushima Vortis
  5. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · T. Inami · Assist: N. Kanuma Tokushima Vortis
  6. 46′subst · Substitution 3 · H. Tanaka · Assist: J. Miyazaki Tokushima Vortis
  7. 68′Card · Yellow Card · N. Kanuma Tokushima Vortis
  8. 69′subst · Substitution 1 · K. Shimabuku · Assist: K. Kasai Albirex Niigata
  9. 69′subst · Substitution 2 · T. Osawa · Assist: C. Konagaya Albirex Niigata
  10. 71′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Iwao · Assist: T. Sugimoto Tokushima Vortis
  11. 77′subst · Substitution 3 · M. Moraes · Assist: K. Kuwayama Albirex Niigata
  12. 89′subst · Substitution 5 · S. Kodama · Assist: Thonny Anderson Tokushima Vortis
  13. 90+1′subst · Substitution 4 · Y. Wakatsuki · Assist: F. Hayakawa Albirex Niigata
  14. 90+1′subst · Substitution 5 · K. Funaki · Assist: M. Fitzgerald Albirex Niigata

Events updated

Matsumoto YamagaJ-League CupAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Blaublitz AkitaJ2 LeagueAway2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Jubilo IwataJ2 LeagueHome2–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Montedio YamagataJ2 LeagueHome1–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Yokohama FCJ2 LeagueAway0–5Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Thespakusatsu GunmaJ-League CupAway2–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IwakiJ2 LeagueAway3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Kagoshima UnitedEmperor CupHome0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Albirex Niigata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.