Welsh Cup · Round of 64

Results Only

GAP Connah S Quay FCvsPorthmadog

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog in Welsh Cup on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Clevertips · Match preview · 16 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Welsh Cup
Venue
Essity Stadium
Status
Not Started
Score
Not started
90-minute score
—
Last updated

Next five games for each club

GAP Connah S Quay FC

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Porthmadog

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

GAP Connah S Quay FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Porthmadog recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticGAP Connah S Quay FCPorthmadog
Games1010
Wins86
Draws12
Losses12
Goals scored2015
Goals conceded610
Over 1.5 games86

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

GAP Connah S Quay FC: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Porthmadog: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.38
Porthmadog 0.99

The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

GAP Connah S Quay FC recent form

8Wins
1Draws
1Losses
20Goals scored
6Goals conceded
5Clean sheets

2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

GAP Connah S Quay FC goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Briton FerryPremier LeagueAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

PenybontPremier LeagueHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Barry TownPremier LeagueAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cardiff METPremier LeagueHome1–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Airbus UKPremier LeagueHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Colwyn BayPremier LeagueAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Haverfordwest County AFCPremier LeagueHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Flint Town UnitedPremier LeagueAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cambrian & ClydachPremier LeagueHome3–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ammanford AFCPremier LeagueAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from GAP Connah S Quay FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Porthmadog recent form

6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
15Goals scored
10Goals conceded
5Clean sheets

1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Porthmadog goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Gresford AthleticFAW ChampionshipAway1–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Bangor City 1876 FCFAW ChampionshipHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Newtown AFCFAW ChampionshipAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ruthin TownFAW ChampionshipHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bala TownFAW ChampionshipHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Holyhead HotspurFAW ChampionshipAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CaerswsFAW ChampionshipHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Denbigh TownFAW ChampionshipAway3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Buckley TownFAW ChampionshipAway1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RhylFAW ChampionshipHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Porthmadog’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.