Premier League · Regular Season - 6
FULL-TIME
Express vs UPDF in Premier League on 15 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 15 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 2′Goal · Normal GoalD. TalemwaUPDF
- 8′Goal · Normal GoalD. TalemwaUPDF
- 75′Goal · Normal GoalH. WamalaExpress
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
ExpressUPDF
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| 0 | Yellow Card | 0 |
| 0 | Yellow/Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 0 | Penalties | 0 |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| 0 | Substitutions | 0 |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Updated
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | SC Villa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2. | NEC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 14 |
| 3. | BUL | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 4. | Entebbe UPPC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5. | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 6. | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 7. | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 8. | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 9. | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 10. | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 11. | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 12. | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 13. | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 14. | Express | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15. | URA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16. | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 17. | Kataka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | 2 |
| 18. | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Express vs UPDF
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPDF | 0–1 | Express | Premier League |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Hamz Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Express vs UPDF: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Express recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. UPDF recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 4 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Express | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Express: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UPDF: (0.46 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Express recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NECPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| KitaraPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KCCAPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BULPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| VipersPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| LugaziPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KitaraPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Buhimba SaintsPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Express’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UPDF recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PolicePremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KatakaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CalvaryPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KCCAPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PolicePremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| URAPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from UPDF’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.