AFC Champions League Two · Group Stage - 2

FULL-TIME

BG Pathum United1–2Adelaide United

BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United in AFC Champions League Two on 15 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 15 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 2′
    Goal · Normal GoalMarin JurinaBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Patrik Gustavsson
  2. 10′
    Goal · Normal GoalCraig GoodwinAdelaide United
  3. 55′
    Card · Yellow CardSarach YooyenBG Pathum UnitedFoul
  4. 59′
    Card · Yellow CardAnselmo de MoraesAdelaide UnitedDissent
  5. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Brody BurkittAdelaide UnitedAssist: Ajak Riak
  6. 64′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Jay BarnettAdelaide UnitedAssist: Fabian Talladira
  7. 66′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Lucas AndersenBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Fabio Kaufmann
  8. 66′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Hugo RamaBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Ashley Mark Coffey
  9. 66′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Yefferson QuintanaBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Marko Nikolić
  10. 70′
    Card · Yellow CardPanagiotis KikianisAdelaide UnitedFoul
  11. 72′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Patrik GustavssonBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Waris Chuthong
  12. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Jonny YullAdelaide UnitedAssist: Joey Garuccio
  13. 77′
    Goal · Normal GoalEthan AlagichAdelaide UnitedAssist: Juan Muñiz
  14. 80′
    Card · Yellow CardAnthony BelmonteBG Pathum UnitedFoul
  15. 83′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Anthony BelmonteBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Joao Magno
  16. 85′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Craig GoodwinAdelaide UnitedAssist: Amlani Tatu
  17. 85′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Anselmo de MoraesAdelaide UnitedAssist: Feyzo Kasumovic
  18. 89′
    Card · Yellow CardAjak RiakAdelaide UnitedFoul
  19. 90+9′
    Substitution · Substitution 6Jonathan ScherzerBG Pathum UnitedAssist: Edin Osmanović

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for BG Pathum United and Adelaide United
#TeamPWDLGPTS
3.BG Pathum United20112:31
1.Adelaide United22005:16

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
AFC Champions League Two
Venue
True BG Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–2
90-minute score
1–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

BG Pathum United

Adelaide United

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

BG Pathum United recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Adelaide United recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticBG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
Games1010
Wins35
Draws31
Losses44
Goals scored1617
Goals conceded1412
Over 1.5 games810

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

BG Pathum United: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Adelaide United: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
BG Pathum United 1.33
Adelaide United 1.66

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

BG Pathum United recent form

3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
16Goals scored
14Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

BG Pathum United goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Ayutthaya FCThai League 1Home1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Bangkok UnitedThai League 1Away2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Home UnitedAFC Champions League TwoAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Rasi Salai UnitedThai League 1Home3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PattaniThai League 1Away0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Aston VillaFriendlies ClubsHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Buriram UnitedFriendlies ClubsHome0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Roi EtFriendlies ClubsAway5–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Port FCLeague CupHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PrachuapThai League 1Home3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from BG Pathum United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Adelaide United recent form

5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
17Goals scored
12Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Adelaide United goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Perth GloryFriendlies ClubsAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

  1. 3′Goal · Normal Goal · H. Crawford Adelaide United
  2. 53′Goal · Normal Goal · B. Burkitt Adelaide United
  3. 56′Goal · Missed Penalty · L. Duzel · Assist: L. Duzel Adelaide United
  4. 64′Goal · Normal Goal · T. Kuzamba Perth Glory
  5. 67′Goal · Normal Goal · B. Burkitt Adelaide United

Events updated

Perth GloryFriendlies ClubsAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Wofoo Tai PoAFC Champions League TwoHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Công An Nhân DânAFC Champions League EliteHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

South MelbourneAustralia CupAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Playford City PatriotsFriendlies ClubsAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

The CoveFriendlies ClubsAway5–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AucklandA-LeagueHome0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AucklandA-LeagueAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Melbourne CityA-LeagueAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Adelaide United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.