Copa Colombia · Quarter-finals

FULL-TIME

Atletico Nacional3–2Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin in Copa Colombia on 15 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 15 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 11′
    VAR · Goal Disallowed - video reviewC. HaydarAtletico Nacional
  2. 23′
    Goal · Normal GoalC. HaydarAtletico Nacional
  3. 38′
    Card · Yellow CardJ. CampuzanoAtletico Nacional
  4. 42′
    Goal · Own GoalF. FabraAtletico Nacional
  5. 46′
    Substitution · Substitution 1D. CatanoIndependiente MedellinAssist: E. Mena Perea
  6. 56′
    Substitution · Substitution 1M. UribeAtletico NacionalAssist: J. Rengifo
  7. 63′
    Goal · PenaltyA. MarteganiIndependiente Medellin
  8. 66′
    Card · Yellow CardD. MorenoIndependiente Medellin
  9. 66′
    Goal · Normal GoalA. RomanAtletico Nacional
  10. 71′
    Substitution · Substitution 2J. CampuzanoAtletico NacionalAssist: J. Zapata
  11. 71′
    Substitution · Substitution 3E. CardonaAtletico NacionalAssist: N. Rodriguez
  12. 71′
    Goal · Normal GoalA. MarteganiIndependiente Medellin
  13. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 2C. LucumiIndependiente MedellinAssist: Yony Gonzalez
  14. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 3H. LoboaIndependiente MedellinAssist: D. Moreno
  15. 82′
    Substitution · Substitution 4S. VelasquezAtletico NacionalAssist: M. Casco
  16. 82′
    Substitution · Substitution 5J. RodriguezAtletico NacionalAssist: K. Parra Atehortua
  17. 86′
    Card · Yellow CardL. EscorciaIndependiente Medellin
  18. 88′
    Substitution · Substitution 4J. MontanoIndependiente MedellinAssist: K. Klinger

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin
#TeamPWDLGPTS
1.Independiente Medellin42205:38

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Copa Colombia
Venue
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Status
Match Finished
Score
3–2
90-minute score
3–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Atletico Nacional

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Independiente Medellin

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Atletico Nacional recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Independiente Medellin recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticAtletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Games1010
Wins65
Draws32
Losses13
Goals scored2018
Goals conceded913
Over 1.5 games99

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Atletico Nacional: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Independiente Medellin: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Atletico Nacional 1.53
Independiente Medellin 1.24

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Atletico Nacional recent form

6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
20Goals scored
9Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Atletico Nacional goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Deportes TolimaPrimera AHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

JuniorPrimera AHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Chapecoense-scFriendlies ClubsHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MillonariosPrimera AHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LlanerosPrimera AAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Internacional de BogotaPrimera AAway3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Águilas DoradasPrimera AHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Deportivo CaliCopa ColombiaHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Alianza ValleduparPrimera AAway5–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Deportivo CaliPrimera AHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Atletico Nacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Independiente Medellin recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
18Goals scored
13Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Independiente Medellin goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
America de CaliPrimera AAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Santa FePrimera AHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

MillonariosPrimera AHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

JuniorPrimera AAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

JaguaresPrimera AHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BucaramangaPrimera AAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ChicoPrimera AAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Deportivo PastoCopa ColombiaAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Deportivo PereiraPrimera AAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LlanerosPrimera AHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Independiente Medellin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.