Australia Cup · Final

FULL-TIME

South Melbourne1–1Melbourne Victory

South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory in Australia Cup on 10 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 1–1, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 10 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Australia Cup
Venue
AAMI Park
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–1
90-minute score
0–0
Last updated

Next five games for each club

South Melbourne

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Melbourne Victory

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

South Melbourne recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 12. Melbourne Victory recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticSouth MelbourneMelbourne Victory
Games1010
Wins63
Draws15
Losses32
Goals scored1913
Goals conceded127
Over 1.5 games96

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

South Melbourne: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Melbourne Victory: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
South Melbourne 1.23
Melbourne Victory 1.28

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

South Melbourne recent form

6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
19Goals scored
12Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

South Melbourne goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
LionsAustralia CupHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Oakleigh CannonsVictoria NPLAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Heidelberg UnitedVictoria NPLHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sunshine GeorgiesVictoria NPLAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Preston LionsAustralia CupAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Heidelberg UnitedVictoria NPLHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Melbourne City IIVictoria NPLAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Fremantle CityAustralia CupHome3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

St. Albans SaintsVictoria NPLHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Adelaide UnitedAustralia CupHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from South Melbourne’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Melbourne Victory recent form

3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
13Goals scored
7Goals conceded
5Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Melbourne Victory goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
ViettelAFC Champions League TwoAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SydneyAustralia CupAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

APIA Leichhardt TigersAustralia CupAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Western Sydney WanderersAustralia CupAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Kingborough LionsAustralia CupAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SydneyA-LeagueHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Western Sydney WanderersA-LeagueAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Newcastle JetsA-LeagueHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AucklandA-LeagueAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Wellington PhoenixA-LeagueHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Melbourne Victory’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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